![]() A New Speed Metric: FLAGSĬlearly, in the example above, Reddick’s true speed was impacted by an incident. Prior to the incident, he had 62 such laps over a 322 lap span, a 19.3% rate.Īdditionally, Reddick recorded only six race-speed laps above 31.25 seconds prior to the incident. Graphically, we can see Reddick was hanging out between 30.5- and 31.25-second laps for the bulk of the race.Īfter the rubber build up and subsequent incident (indicated by the red arrow), Reddick only had two laps faster than 30.5 seconds over the final 91 laps, a 2.2% rate. He was unable to run the same speed the rest of the race. Eventually, that caused the tire to shred, costing Reddick a lap and damaging his car. However, on lap 323 rubber build up started accumulating in his tire and impacting it’s performance. Reddick was running solid for 322 of the 400 scheduled laps. Projecting Speed: An ExampleĪs a good example, let’s look at Tyler Reddick’s race in the Coca-Cola 600 earlier this year. Metrics like average green flag speed, average running position, driver rating, fastest laps and laps led are nice, but they often don’t tell the full story. ![]() That means we’re focused on the second method. However, that occurs before any on-track activity takes place. There is plenty of value in mid-week betting. Using past races at the current track and similar tracks.Looking at on-track activity (practice, qualifying) during the race weekend.The two avenues bettors use to project speed are: Handicapping NASCAR races is all about projecting speed.
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